GOT IT WRONG: |
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GOT IT RIGHT: |
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Nate Silver - Predicted Harris 50.015% to Trump 49.985% | Pulls prediction model 10:30PM election night after giving Harris a 53% chance of winning at 9:05PM. |
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Political Ref (Freedom Window) X - Electoral College - Predicted 49 states correctly. |
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RCP Popular Vote - Picked Harris |
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Political Ref (Freedom Window) X - Popular Vote - Predicted to win Popular Vote |
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Sabato's Crystal Ball |
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On Point Politics - Predicted 49 states correctly |
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Five Thirty Eight (ABC) - Predicted Harris to win 50 out of 100 simulations, Trump 49 out of 100 and no winner 1 out of 100. |
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RCP No Toss Up States - Predicted 48 states correctly |
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The Economist - Predicted Harris 56/100 times |
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Red Eagle Politics - Predicted 49 States Correctly |
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Professor Allan Lichtman |
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Jon Ralston | - Nevada expert missed Nevada |
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Ann Selzer | Iowa expert missed Iowa by 17 points |
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<<<< My Nov. 3 article explaining why she was wrong |
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