2024 AVERAGES: HOME | NATIONAL VOTE | ELECTORAL COL. | HOUSE | SENATE | Battlegrounds: AZ - GA - NC - MI - PA - WI - NV | LATEST SUPER POLLS . . .
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THE MOST EXTENSIVE POLL AVERAGES, PERIOD.
 
HOW DID THE PROGNOSTICATORS DO?
Got it wrong: Got it right:
Nate Silver - 50/50 prediction leaning Harris | Pulls prediction model 10:30PM election night Political Ref (Freedom Window) Electoral College
RCP Popular Vote - Picked Harris Political Ref (Freedom Window) Popular Vote
Five Thirty Eight - 50/50 prediction leaning Harris
Sabato's Crystal Ball RCP No Toss Up States
Professor Allan Lichtman  
   
 
 
FOLLOW THE HOUSE RESULTS . . .
 
 
47th President of the United States
 
TRUMP WINS SWEEPING ELECTORAL AND POPULAR VOTE VICTORY
 
 
FINAL PROJECTIONS:
- Trump Wins 297-241 Electoral Votes
- Trump Wins Popular Vote by 0.2%
- GOP takes Senate 51-49 Seats
- GOP takes the House narrowly
National Battleground States
Natl Ele.Col. PA MI WI NC GA AZ NV
0.2 297-241 0.8 TIE 0.4 1.4 1.6 3.4 TIE
 
 
ROGAN ENDORSES TRUMP, DEMOCRACY AT STAKE
 
 
ELON: LAST CHANCE TO SAVE U.S. DEMOCRACY
 
 
PHILLY OFFICIAL VIDEO: NON-CITIZENS CAN VOTE IF A RESIDENT OF PHILLY
Another Philly video coming Tuesday
 
 
GA S.CT - BALLOTS DUE ELECTION DAY
MAJOR SPLIT: NEVADA S.CT. ALLOWS BALLOTS AFTER ELECTION DAY WITHOUT POSTMARKS
 
 
MEGYN KELLY TO SPEAK AT TRUMP RALLY
How times have changed! Kelly-Trump clashes through the years
 
 
TRUMP CAMPAIGN MEMO: Democrats facing massive turnout deficit
 
 
Halperin: Senior Democrats are really worried
- Urban voters of color are not showing up
 
 
ELON FEELS LIKE A MILLION BUCKS
 
 
NEVADA LOOKS GOOD FOR GOP AS OF TODAY . . .
 
 
. . . BUT RALSTON SAYS ITS A COIN FLIP, MACHINE WILL WIN IT FOR HARRIS WITH LATE VOTES COMING IN UNTIL FRIDAY . . .
 
 
. . . NOT ALL DEMS SHARE RALSTON'S HOPE
 
 
Halperin: Harris early vote lead in PA is not enough
 
 
Trump's Gains with Latinos are Real. Maybe enough to withstand Island of Garbage.
 
 
TRUMP +8 IN IOWA POLL TAKEN 11/2-11/3
- Emerson Trump +9 in Iowa, from 11/1-11/2
- DesMoines Register Iowa Poll Playing Politics
- Ann Selzer on 2-Way - Says she never looks at previous elections, includes the most likely voters only ("probably" vote not enough to pass screen), only makes phone calls, no emails or texts, lengthy phone survey only. Looks like the perfect formula for missing Trump only voters.
- Trump says Ann Selzer Iowa Poll is "Supression" and "Should be illegal"
 
 
NEVADA UPDATE: ON GOP 30,000 VOTE LEAD . . . this is about at the edge of what’s doable for them (Dems), and could be slightly too much to overcome.
 
 
NYT: "polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again."
 
 
FINAL NYT: TIED IN PA & MI, HARRIS +2 IN WI
- NYT was showing Harris +4 in Pennsylvania all along. This shift to a tie suggests Trump's pulling ahead there.
- Elon confident of PA victory
 
 
IOWA POLL PLAYS POLITICS
 
 
INDEPENDENTS STAY HOME. GOP SURGE TO TIE. DEMS MUST TURN OUT MORE ON ELECTION DAY . . .
 
 
CHENEY-DRUDGE PROPAGANDA BACKFIRE
- Trump Hater Bill Maher: This is what I don't like about the media. He was calling her a warhawk.
- Trump Hater Jamie Raskin: This media lie is "ridicululous, absurd and counterproductive."
 
 
EARLY VOTING WRAP . . . GOP increases in all 7 battlegrounds, wins AZ, GA, NV and NC. Neck and neck in MI and WI. Hits target of 33% of mail-in ballot in PA.
 
 
Rare GOP win in PA . . . State Supreme Ct strikes undated ballots
 
 
TRUMP STATEMENT ON PEANUT THE SQUIRREL . . .
 
 
HALPERIN: SOURCES SAY HARRIS WON'T WIN WISCONSIN
 
 
ERIE COUNTY GETS 3 DAYS OF EXTRA EARLY VOTING DUE TO BALLOTS NOT ARRIVING
 
 
GOP LEADS IN EARLY VOTING . . . IN OREGON!
 
 
GOP ELIMINATES DEM REGISTRTION ADVANTAGE IN NEVADA . . . RALSTON, "DAMN!"
 
 
SOOOOO BAD . . . ONLY 12,000 OCT JOBS, 100K BELOW EXPECTIONS
 
 
PA: TRUMP +0.9
After massive Friday poll dump, Trump still leads PA by 0.9% in my Pennsylvania Super Poll | What is a Super Poll
 
Drudge propaganda
Here's the full video, not the chopped up version Drudge linked to . .
Here is the full statement in context: Cheney, Trump said, "is a very dumb individual, very dumb. She's a radical war hawk. Let's put her with a rifle standing there with nine barrels shooting at her. OK? Let's see how she feels about it, you know when the guns are trained on her face. They're all war hawks when they're sitting in Washington in a nice building saying, 'Oh, gee, well let's send 10,000 troops right into the mouth of the enemy.' But she's a stupid person, and I used to have —I'd have meetings with a lot of people, and she always wanted to go to war with people."
CNN report omits key context, pushes actual propaganda
 
Hugh Hewitt walks out on Washington Post live . . .
Hugh Hewitt resigned from the Washington Post after walking off the set
 
Cuban: Trump women aren't intellligent . . . Cuban apologizes
 
Luntz: Garbage comment is HUGE
Luntz predicted a Kamala win after the debate. He has clearly changed his tune.
 
Cygnal, best pollster around, says Trump winning Puerto Ricans in Florida after MSG rally - Thx Red Eagle
 
GOP up 163,000 ballots in Arizona
 
Extremely long ballot slowing things down in Arizona
 
GOP nearly hits 33% mail-ballot return rate in PA, their "guaranteed win" threshold
 
Just a hunch, but this will be the closing message of the Trump campaign . . .
 
No straight party ticket voting on Dominion machines
This will hurt the GOP, which has Trump-only voters showing up. Some will vote Trump and not down ticket.
UPDATE: Dominion says this only affects a few machines in Michigan
 
Is Ralston coping? You be the judge.
 
Bucks County ordered to extend on-demand voting
Gov. Shapiro promised if you were in line by 5, you get a mail-in ballot . . . Bucks Co. line shut down early
 
SUPREME CT BLOCKS NONCITIZEN VA VOTERS
 
Why registration data suggests convincing PA Trump win
 
MSM POLLSTERS TRY TO CHANGE THE NARRATIVE
- Final CNN Michigan poll has Harris tied with men and up 30 points with Independents. LMAO
- USA Today Poll Bias Score - Wisconsin Average
- CNN Poll Bias Score, Arizona Average
 
NO LAUGHING MATTER
- The President of the United States angrily labelled Trump supporters "garbage" Tuesday night. The statement seemed intentional and cogent.
- Conversely, Jon Stewart points out that while perhaps risky, MSG rally comic Hitchcliffe was just doing his job and he finds him funny.
 
GOP asks US Supreme Ct to block PA S.Ct. decision that contradicts state legislature
 
MOST ACCURATE 2020 ARIZONA POLL: TRUMP +8
 
Whistle blower claims Comey started spying on Trump in 2015
 
Kamala cancels $2m in North Carolina ad buys
 
Tuesday Pennsylvania Update: GOP +94k over 2020, Dems -341k under 2020. Net = GOP +435k compared to 2020. Biden won by 80k.
 
Trump alleges widespread voter registration fraud in PA
 
Arrest at PA polling place
 
Steve Bannon returns from jail
 
 
Kamala supporters scream at toddler in abortion fight
 
Jeff Bezos - Americans don't trust the news media
 

BLOODBATH: Journalists Still Freaking Out and Quitting Their Jobs Because They Can't Endorse Kamala

 
Another CBS propaganda edit?
 
USA Today the latest left-leaning paper choosing not to endorse Kamala
 
Steve Bannon press conference Tuesday
 
Nevada turnout, still more of the same, GOP dominates. Dems could still come back, but hope dimming . . .
 
Bezos reportedly wants more conservatives at Wash Post
 
Pennsylvania Monday Update: Absentee ballot return rate will be even between parties
 
Arizona Sunday Update: GOP up 7% on Dems, 4.6% increase from 2020, 87,000 vote lead
 
Nevada Sunday morning update: GOP leads by 31,000 in turnout . . . "the Dems have to start changing the electorate more to have a chance, even if they are doing well now with indies."
 
North Carolina Sunday morning update: GOP still leads by 30,000 votes in early turnout. GOP usually trails early turnout.
 
Nevada Saturday Afternoon Update: "the Dems either change the composition of the electorate or carnage ensues."
 
Why Nevada Independent turnout is so low
 
GOP LOOKING VERY STRONG IN NORTH CAROLINA EARLY VOTE
 
TRUMP ON ROGAN
 
GOP +7 IN ARIZONA EARLY VOTE, DEMS WERE +8 YTD 2020
 
MAJOR DEM LAST MINUTE PA VOTER FRAUD
 
 
FINAL NYT: Trump +1
Simply judging by the numbers, a +1 Trump popular vote indicates a very strong likelihood of a Trump electoral college victory. Trump leads 47-46 in the full field.
 
NO WASH. POST ENDORSEMENT FOR HARRIS
 
NEVADA COMES DOWN TO INDEPENDENTS (See Below): Every current poll in our average that separately measured NV Independents show Trump winning them
 
Ralston: Nevada is all about Independents now. "I assume . . . that the turnout mix is going to be at or around what it as in 2020 and 2016, where the Rs had about a 5 percent overall advantageThe huge difference is that the Dem registration edge usually gave them a cushion. This cycle, because the gap has closed, they have almost no margin for error and thus the indie split becomes critical."
 
Mike Pence's Chief of Staff says General Kelly is lying about Trump
 
Musk shows good political chops in hiring political operatives in NV
 
North Carolina Update, 10/25 10:16AM: GOP continues to hold early vote lead
 
Elon dismisses DOJ warning, continues $1M prizes
 
Nevada, 10/25, 9:19AM Update: "In-person gains for GOP in Clark have been remarkably consistent. Latest is plus-4K."
 
Nevada, 10/24, 9:30PM Update: "The Republican early vote lead will continue to grow. The GOP just has more active and interested voters and is pulling people off the couch who normally don't vote." Dems need Independents to save them, not clear yet if that's possible.
 
Trump leads all battlegrounds, national popular vote tied . .
 
Rove and Halperin on the Electoral College
 
Nate Silver: My gut tells me Trump wins
 
Halperin Update: Dems and Harris team are very tense
 
Nevada - Repubs have a nearly 3 percent turnout advantage statewide, Dems usually dominate early
 
HALPERIN: IF THE EARLY VOTE NUMBERS STAY THE WAY THEY ARE, WE WILL KNOW IT'S TRUMP BEFORE ELECTION DAY . . .
 
TRUMP +4 IN GEORGIA GOLD STANDARD POLL, AJC
 
DEMS PARTY OF THE RICH: KAMALA OUTSPENDING TRUMP 3 TO 1
 
PENTAGON IRANIAN-BORN MOLE?
 
MAJOR GALLUP FINDING: ECONOMIC CONFIDENCE WORSE THAN FOUR YEARS AGO
 
ISRAEL OFFERS CONDITIONS FOR END OF HEZBOLLAH WAR
 
GOV. SHAPIRO THREATENS ELON
Recall Shapiro signing a missile with US dependent at war foreign leader Zelenskyy campaigning for Kamala, quid pro quo?
 
MASSIVE TRUMP MCDONALD'S CROWD
 
Lindsey: “To every Republican supporting her, what the hell are you doing?”
 
MY PROJECTIONS
*Trump vs. Harris* 287 25 226
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
*HOUSE* 47.3% 0 47.3%
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
*SENATE* - - -
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
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