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NATIONAL VOTE | ELECTORAL COL. | HOUSE | SENATE | Battlegrounds: FL-OH-AZ-GA-IA-NC-MI-PA-WI-NH-NV-TX-MN | BEST IN 2016

2024 AVERAGES: HOME | NATIONAL VOTE | ELECTORAL COL. | HOUSE | SENATE | Battlegrounds: AZ - GA - NC - MI - PA - WI - NV | LATEST SUPER POLLS . . .
A WINDOW TO FREEDOM ONLINE FREEDOM FROM GASLIGHTING
 

THE POLITICAL REF NAILED IT AGAIN! 49/50 | Popular Vote

 
KIRK: GAETZ KEY WITNESS PROVABLY CORRUPT
 
 
CENK: LICHTMAN NEEDS "SHUT UP JUICE"
 
 
CAPITOL IDEA, GENDERED BATHROOMS
 
 
DOGE AIMS TO DELETE ENTIRE DEPARTMENTS
 
 
KAMALA'S SWAN SONG, FILL JUDICIAL VACANCIES WITH LEFT-LEANING JUDGES
 
 
Netanyahu Offers $5 million per hostage
 
 
ESCALATION

US MISSILES FIRED INTO RUSSIA

What are ATACMS?

VIDEO - RUSSIA SHOOTS DOWN

 
 
 
AZ GOV - NO DEPORTATION
Trump won AZ by 6 points on deportation message
 
TRUMP BORDER CZAR - ILLEGAL TO HARBOR OR CONCEAL ILLEGAL ALIEN FROM FEDERAL LAW ENFORCEMENT
 
 
TRUMP BORDER CZAR - WE ARE DOING THE JOB WITH OR WITHOUT YOU
 
 
PA GOV SHAPIRO STATEMENT: IGNORING ELECTION LAWS DAMAGES TRUST IN ELECTIONS
 
 
PA SUPREMES REJECT ILLEGAL BALLOT COUNTS
 
 
DEMS ALREADY POSITIONING FOR 2028
 
 
TRUMP WILL DECLARE NATIONAL EMERGENCY AND USE MILITARY TO DEPORT
 
 
JOE AND MIKA WENT TO MAR-A-LAGO TO MEET WITH TRUMP
 
 
HEGSETH ACCUSER WAS WITH HUSBAND & KIDS AT HOTEL
 
 
HEGSETH SPOKESMAN: SHE WAS AGGRESSOR, LIED TO HUBBY, NOW EXTORTING
 
 
Trump says probe "totally fake" Selzer poll
 
 
IOWA'S ANN SELZER QUITS
- Selzer had decided to resign before 16-point miss that artificially boosted Kamala hopes
- Political Ref predicted the epic miss the day the Iowa Poll came out . . .
 
 
EPIC ENTRANCE
 
 
 
JON JONES HANDS CHAMPIONSHIP BELT TO TRUMP
 
 
DEM TAKES NARROW LEAD IN TIGHTEST HOUSE CONTEST (SEE BELOW FOR COUNT)
 
 
HOUSE - GOP 220, DEMS 213. 2 TO GO. CLICK COUNTS BELOW . . .
 
 
 
ARIZONA AG DROPS INVESTIGATION INTO ALLEGED TRUMP THREAT AGAINST LIZ CHENEY
 
 
THE AG KNEW TRUMP NEVER THREATENED CHENEY
 
 
FLASHBACK: LIZ CHENEY EMBRACES THE OBVIOUS DISTORTION
 
 
LEGACY MEDIA EMBRACED THE LIE
 
 
EVEN POLITIFACT EASILY PUT STATEMENTS IN CONTEXT
 
 
NO BLANKET PARDONS FOR J6, CASE-BY-CASE BASIS
 
 
  DEM DEBT DECEIPT
 
 
HHS Sec. RFKJ
 
 
Ramiswammy makes the legal case for D.O.G.E.
 
 
Fetterman: "God tier level trolling"
 
 
EZRA KLEIN: DEMS SHOULD SHUT THE F... UP DEFENDING THEIR RECORDS ON CRIME, IMMIGRATION AND ECONOMY. IT'S ALL TERRIBLE.
 
 
GOP SENATE OPPOSITION TO GAETZ
 
 
GAETZ SEAT COULD BE FILLED BY JAN. 3
 
 
MUSK THREATENS HOUSE PRIMARY CHALLENGES. SENATE NEXT?
THUNE HAS BACKED TRUMP, BUT SEEN AS ESTABLISHMENT OPPOSITION
 
 

YOUTH MOVEMENT CONTINUES: GAETZ FOR AG

DOJ NOT HAPPY

BARR: DEEP STATE IN DEEP SH..

 
 
 
SEC DEF HEGSETH

Disruptive Choice

End "Woke Military"

"Fine Pick"

WTF!?

"Frightening"

 
 
They met today . . .
 
 
"END THE DEEP STATE'S REIGN"  
 
 
D.O.G.E.
 
 
Cabinet so far
 
 
2026 Senate Map Rough for Democrats
 
 
Judge Merchan delays decision on vacating conviction
 
 
SOS RUBIO - Can Sec. of State Marco lead US out of the foreign policy darkness
 
 
TRUMP TRIFECTA | TYT | GINGER
 
 
ICY: MELANIA DECLINES JILL MEET
 
 
WOKE IS BROKE | Maureen Dowd  
Alarming shift for Dems in urban vote
TOTAL TURFING - KAMALA PAID OPRAH
 
 
538 says modest polling error | FreedomWindow full poll rankings coming soon. 538's postmortem misses the mark
 
 
WSJ: Dems trying to steal Senate seat
 
 
HUGE DROP IN DEM VOTES
 
SOTOMAYOR STAYING
 

 

SENATE GOP COUP AGAINST TRUMP? Who will lead?

VP Vance . . . Rick Scott . . Thune?

 

Decision Desk HQ: GOP 2 seats away

Here are the uncalled races

 
 
FEMA OFFICIAL HURRICANE MILTON: "AVOID HOMES" WITH TRUMP SIGNS
 
 
IS KAMALA RAISING MONEY TO CHALLENGE AP CALLED RACE TO COVER HER OWN DEBTS?
 
 
Jack be nimble . . . Smith quickly winds down Trump prosecutions
- But keep all records Jack, thx. Jim Jordan
 
Would they?
Obama White House Archived from Washington, DC, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons
 
 
HOW DID THE PROGNOSTICATORS DO?
Got it wrong:   Got it right:
     
Nate Silver - Predicted Harris 50.015% to Trump 49.985% | Pulls prediction model 10:30PM election night after giving Harris a 53% chance of winning at 9:05PM.   Political Ref (Freedom Window) | X Electoral College - Predicted 49 states correctly.
   

Political Ref (Freedom Window) | X Popular Vote - Predicted Trump to Win popular vote

On Point Politics - Predicted 49 states correctly

RCP Popular Vote - Picked Harris
 
Sabato's Crystal Ball
 
Five Thirty Eight (ABC) - Predicted Harris to win 50 out of 100 simulations, Trump 49 out of 100 and no winner 1 out of 100.
     
The Economist - Predicted Harris 56/100 times   RCP No Toss Up States - Predicted 48 states correctly
     
Professor Allan Lichtman   Red Eagle Politics - Predicted 49 States Correctly
     
Jon Ralston | - Nevada expert missed Nevada    
     
Ann Selzer | Iowa expert missed Iowa by 17 points   My Nov. 3 article explaining why she was wrong
     
 
 
47th President of the United States
 
TRUMP WINS SWEEPING ELECTORAL AND POPULAR VOTE VICTORY
 
 
FINAL PROJECTIONS:
- Trump Wins 297-241 Electoral Votes
- Trump Wins Popular Vote by 0.2%
- GOP takes Senate 51-49 Seats
- GOP takes the House narrowly
National Battleground States
Natl Ele.Col. PA MI WI NC GA AZ NV
0.2 297-241 0.8 TIE 0.4 1.4 1.6 3.4 TIE
 
 
MY PROJECTIONS
*Trump vs. Harris* 287 25 226
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
*HOUSE* 47.3% 0 47.3%
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
*SENATE* - - -
ACTUAL RESULTS -   -
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