| THE MOST COMPLETE & UNBIASED PUBLIC POLL OF THE YEAR IN PENNSYLVANIA, TRUMP +3 |
| Rasmussen Reports has the reputation of leaning GOP, and their national numbers do. Their state polling, however, has tended to lean Dem. The latest PA poll is thorough and unbiased, and for the first time I feel confidant Trump wins PA. The poll is listed first in today's PA average. This comes shortly after NYT publishes a +4 for Harris in the state. I am confidant NYT is wrong. This clash in polling approaches (using recall vote or not) will be highlighted and remembered. With Trump in the race, recall vote works. Click to see the Poll Bias Scoresheet, 9, no bias. |
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| Why the New York Times is getting a big lead for Harris in PA but Trump in AZ - Short answer, they are getting the results they think will strategically help Kamala as much as possible. |
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| New York Times admits it could be polling too many Dems - Nate Cohn: "By recall vote, the Times/Inquirer/Siena poll in Pennsylvania is Biden +10, even though Mr. Biden actually won the state by just one point in 2020". I say this is a clear sign they are polling too many Dems and Dem leaners. See my bias score sheet, Score: Definite & Excessive bias toward Dems. Trump leads PA by 1.0 point in my average |
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| Trump going on Joe Rogan. . . |
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| MY PROJECTIONS |
| *Trump vs. Harris* |
296 |
16 |
226 |
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| *HOUSE* |
47.9% |
0 |
47.9% |
| ACTUAL RESULTS |
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| *SENATE* |
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| ACTUAL RESULTS |
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| Headlines 24/7 |
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