2020 Early Projection - Trump 290, Biden 248

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2020 AVERAGES: NATIONAL VOTE \| ELECTORAL COL. \| HOUSE \| SENATE \| Battlegrounds: FL - OH - AZ - GA - IA - NC - MI - PA - WI - NH - NV - TX - MN


	EARLY 2020 ELECTORAL COLLEGE PROJECTION

This projection is based on polls and the early vote in the four battleground states that offer hard data, not TargetSmart estimates. Each projection is rooted in our interpretation of polling, which was the most accurate in 2016, or in the early vote. We projected both the popular vote and 48 of 50 states correclty in 2016.


	SEE ALL OF OUR VIDEOS ON BATTLEGROUND STATES

Our early 2020 electoral projection video here, interactive map below explaining all battleground states. Just hover over each state.


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POLLS ARE ONLY ONE FACTOR, additional factors include early vote, my assessment of turnout, 2016 results & exit polls, absence of polling, polling difficulty, primary voting, registrations, in-state operations, media influence, demographic makeup, future likely developments such as planned spending.